Welcome to the rainy city of Seattle, Washington! Today (Wednesday) there is an 80% chance of rain. Each subsequent day, the chance of rain is 50% if the previous day was rainy, or 33.333333% if the previous day was dry. Can you fill in the blanks for this sign in my garden?
3 _ .40% chance of flowers blooming!
- If there are 4 rainy days in a row over the next 4 days (Wednesday through Saturday), then my flowers have a 75% chance of blooming.
- If there are 3 rainy days in a row over that period of time (e.g. Wednesday through Friday, or Thursday through Saturday), my flowers have a 50% chance of blooming.
- If there are 2 consecutive rainy days in a row over that period of time, my flowers have a 35% chance of blooming.
- If the longest streak of rainy days over that period of time is just 1, then my flowers have a 20% chance of blooming.
- If there are no rainy days over that period of time, then my flowers will not bloom.